Wall Street Predicts Bitcoin Could Drop Another 50%

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Bitcoin has been a lightning rod for investor sentiment in 2022, and recent insights from Wall Street suggest the worst might not be over. Despite a brief rebound in mid-July, market confidence remains fragile. According to a Bloomberg Intelligence (MLIV Pulse) survey of 950 global investors, a significant majority expect further declines—potentially dropping as low as $10,000. That would mark a nearly 50% drop from current levels and represent a devastating blow to bulls who still believe in the long-term promise of digital assets.

This bearish outlook reflects deeper concerns beyond just price swings. The collapse of major lending platforms, the implosion of so-called “stablecoins,” and the end of pandemic-era monetary stimulus have all contributed to a crisis of confidence across the crypto ecosystem.

👉 Discover how market cycles shape crypto trends and what it means for future price movements.

Investor Sentiment Turns Deeply Pessimistic

At the time of the survey, Bitcoin was trading around $21,850—a 12% weekly gain—but that short-term bounce did little to restore faith. Sixty percent of respondents believe Bitcoin is more likely to fall to $10,000 than climb back to $30,000. Only 40% remain optimistic about a near-term recovery.

This lopsided sentiment underscores a broader shift in market psychology. Fear has replaced FOMO (fear of missing out), especially among retail investors. Nearly one-quarter of individual participants now view cryptocurrencies as "garbage," while professional investors maintain a more balanced—but still cautious—perspective.

Still, opinions remain sharply divided. About 28% of respondents expressed strong belief that crypto represents the future of finance, while 20% dismissed it entirely as having no intrinsic value.

Since peaking near $69,000 in November 2021, Bitcoin has lost over two-thirds of its value. It hasn’t traded below $10,000 since September 2020, making such a drop psychologically significant and technically daunting.

“Now it’s easy to feel fear—not just in crypto, but across the world,” said Jared Mah, partner at venture capital firm Tribe Capital. “The expectation of further downside reflects the inherent fear baked into this market.”

Regulatory Pressure Builds Amid Market Turmoil

The ongoing crypto winter has intensified calls for stronger regulation. Many investors see government oversight not as a threat, but as a necessary step toward legitimacy. Clear rules could help rebuild trust and encourage broader adoption by both institutional and retail players.

Regulatory intervention may also be welcomed by average users who’ve suffered losses from high-profile collapses like TerraUSD (UST), Celsius Network, and Voyager Digital Ltd. These failures exposed critical vulnerabilities in decentralized finance (DeFi) models that promised high yields with little transparency.

Central banks are also stepping into the digital currency arena. Dozens are exploring or piloting central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for domestic and cross-border payments. While CBDCs operate on different principles than decentralized blockchains, their emergence adds another layer of complexity to the future financial landscape.

Yet most experts don’t expect Bitcoin or Ethereum to be displaced anytime soon. A majority of survey respondents believe one of these two will still dominate the crypto space five years from now—even as CBDCs gain traction.

“Bitcoin is still powering much of the crypto universe,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA Corp. “Ethereum is losing some ground, but it remains a key player in smart contracts and decentralized applications.”

👉 Learn how regulatory clarity could reshape the future of digital assets and investor opportunities.

NFTs: From Hype to Status Symbol

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) once captured global attention with million-dollar digital art sales and celebrity endorsements. At the height of the frenzy, pixelated monkey avatars sold for eye-watering sums, symbolizing both innovation and excess.

Today, perceptions have cooled dramatically. Most investors now see NFTs as little more than digital collectibles or status symbols rather than legitimate investments. Only 9% of survey participants view them as viable investment vehicles.

The broader consensus? The next speculative bubble won’t come from NFTs, Web3, or blockchain-based social media platforms. Financial history shows that manias rarely revisit the same asset class twice in quick succession.

“The next financial bubble is always different from the last one—so most people are absolutely right in looking elsewhere,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak + Co.

This skepticism doesn’t mean blockchain technology lacks long-term potential. Underlying innovations—such as tokenization, decentralized identity, and smart contract automation—could still transform industries over time. But near-term enthusiasm has clearly waned.

Core Keywords Driving Market Discourse

To better understand search intent and optimize for relevance, here are the core keywords naturally embedded throughout this analysis:

These terms reflect what users are actively searching for: clarity amid chaos, actionable insights during downturns, and forward-looking perspectives on emerging technologies.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: How low could Bitcoin go according to Wall Street analysts?
A: A majority of surveyed investors believe Bitcoin could drop to $10,000—a nearly 50% decline from mid-2022 levels—rather than recover to $30,000 in the near term.

Q: Why are investors so pessimistic about crypto right now?
A: Multiple factors contribute: the collapse of major crypto lenders, failure of algorithmic stablecoins like TerraUSD, rising interest rates, and the end of loose monetary policy that fueled speculation during the pandemic.

Q: Are NFTs still considered good investments?
A: Not by most investors. Only 9% see NFTs as real investment opportunities; the majority view them as digital art or status symbols with limited financial upside.

Q: Will central bank digital currencies replace Bitcoin?
A: Unlikely in the near future. While CBDCs may play a growing role in digital payments, most experts expect Bitcoin or Ethereum to remain dominant players in the decentralized crypto ecosystem over the next five years.

Q: Is increased regulation good for cryptocurrency?
A: Many investors think so. Clearer rules can reduce fraud, increase transparency, and attract institutional capital—ultimately helping legitimize the industry.

Q: Could crypto rebound soon?
A: While possible, current sentiment is overwhelmingly bearish. Without macroeconomic stabilization or major technological breakthroughs, a sustained recovery appears unlikely in the short term.

👉 Explore how macro trends influence digital asset markets and position yourself ahead of the next cycle.

Final Outlook: Caution Rules the Day

The crypto market stands at a crossroads. Innovation continues beneath the surface, but public trust has eroded. What once seemed like an unstoppable revolution now faces existential questions about utility, sustainability, and regulation.

Bitcoin remains the flagship asset—but its volatility deters mainstream adoption. Ethereum powers decentralized applications—but faces scalability challenges. NFTs captured imaginations—but failed to deliver lasting value.

For now, caution dominates. Investors are reevaluating risk, regulators are preparing frameworks, and innovators are working quietly behind the scenes.

One thing is clear: whoever emerges stronger from this downturn will be those who focus on real utility—not just speculation.